Major Market Penetration Predicted for White-Light LED Over The Next Two Decades

Gotta give credit where credit is due.  Since 1976, the Maryland-based non-profit  National Lighting Bureau has served as the Nation's most trusted lighting information source.  With sponsors to include GE Lighting, Illuminating Engineering Society of North America (IES), Lutron Electronics Company, Inc., National Electrical Contractors Association (NECA), National Electrical Manufacturers Association (NEMA) and the U.S. General Services Administration they surely have their finger on the collective pulse of this industry.  A recent NLB report comes at a time when many across our industry were wondering if bad news is becoming the new normal.

Energy Savings Potential of Solid-State Lighting in General Illumination Applications says that growing reliance on Light Emitting Diode (LED) lighting will conserve 2,700 terawatt-hours (2.7 trillion kilowatt-hours) of energy use over the next 20-years saving building owners about $250 billion at today’s energy prices while reducing greenhouse-gas emissions by 1.8 billion tons of carbon, assuming today’s power-plant generating mix stays in place.

The NLB report predicts that, compared to conventional incandescent, halogen, fluorescent, and high-intensity-discharge (HID) white-light sources, the rate of LED market penetration will increase steadily, rising to 36% of general-illumination lumen-hour sales in 2020, and to 74% percent by 2030.

“In 2030,” the report states, “the annual energy savings due to the increased market penetration of LED lighting is estimated to be approximately 300 terawatt-hours, or the equivalent annual electrical output of about fifty 1,000-megawatt power plants. At today’s energy prices, that would equate to approximately $30 billion in energy savings in 2030 alone. Assuming the current mix of generating power stations, these energy savings would reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 210 million metric tons of carbon. The total electricity consumption for lighting would decrease by roughly 46 percent relative to a scenario with no additional penetration of LED lighting in the market – enough electricity to completely power nearly 24 million homes in the U.S. today.”

“The predicted reductions in energy consumption, greenhouse-gas emissions, and operating and maintenance costs are extremely positive. Nonetheless, not just a few lighting-industry insiders believe that the role of LED lighting may not be quite as prominent as forecasted, principally because of the efficiency and longevity advances being made by alternative sources, fluorescent in particular," said National Lighting Bureau Chair Howard P. Lewis "As such, LEDs may have more competition in the years ahead, not less, all of which is a good thing. More products and more types of products will be competing on the basis of efficiency, cost, and functionality, meaning not only that the study’s forecasts about energy and cost savings will likely be realized, they may even be exceeded.”

The study focuses on four principal sectors of the U.S. lighting market – residential, commercial, industrial, and outdoor stationary – where an array of lighting products competes for market share.

With energy costs in the Western Pacific among the highest in America, it is time to take a serious look at those solutions to reduce consumption and improve efficiencies where you can.  

To learn more about the LED lighting products and other related electrical products that GET, LLC provides, please check out our website at www.get-guam.com or call us to discuss solutions for your important lighting needs.