Consumer Confidence On The Rise Headed Into The Final Quarter of 2014

When consumer confidence is up, consumers are spending money.  The team at the Greensboro, North Carolina-based Furniture Today Magazine is reporting that the Consumer Confidence Index is up two points to 92.4-the fourth month in a row of growth as released by the Conference Board. 

The index stood at 90.3 in July and both months were the highest readings since October 2007.

“Consumer confidence increased for the fourth consecutive month as improving business conditions and robust job growth helped boost consumers’ spirits,” said Conference Board Director of Economic Indicators Lynn Franco. “Looking ahead, consumers were marginally less optimistic about the short-term outlook compared to July, primarily due to concerns about their earnings."

Franco noted that consumers remain quite positive about the short-term outlooks for the economy and labor market.

The Conference Board said in the same report that the Present Situation Index increased to 94.6 from 87.9, while the Expectations Index edged down to 90.9 from 91.9 in July. The cutoff for preliminary results from the survey on which the index is based was Aug. 14.
It appears that consumers’ appraisal of current conditions continued to improve through August. The Conference Board says that responses noting business conditions are “good” edged up to 23.9% from 23.3%, while those claiming business conditions are “bad” declined to 21.5% from 22.8%.

Consumers’ assessment of the job market was also more positive. Those stating jobs are “plentiful” increased to 18.2% from 15.6%, while those claiming jobs are “hard to get” declined marginally to 30.6% from 30.9%.

The New York, New York-based global independent business membership and research association also noted in their August 26, 2014 report that consumers were slightly less optimistic about the short-term outlook of the economy. The percentage of consumers expecting business conditions to improve over the next six months held steady at 20.4%, while those expecting business conditions to worsen fell to 10.2% from 12.1%.  

The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index ® (CCI) is a barometer of the health of the U.S. economy from the perspective of the consumer. The index is based on consumers’ perceptions of current business and employment conditions, as well as their expectations for six months hence regarding business conditions, employment, and income. The Consumer Confidence Index and its related series are among the earliest sets of economic indicators available each month and are closely watched as leading indicators for the U.S. economy.



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